distributionenjoylife

Indexabruptclimateevent312adaptation316adaptivemanagement297alpine278,284,286anthropocene146anticipation1,6,7,13,17,21,23,27,28,32,34,37,38,42anticipatorycomputing21atmosphere169autonomousunits345avalanches61,95,277,278,280,281,285–287,319baroclinicinstability172,179Bellman'sprinciple299Benjamin–Feirinstability193Berry,M.
V.
192biologicalsystems321blackswan112blackout321BonnPositronMicroprobe211booksaleshocks95,102brain24,30,32,97,123–126,128,129,132,133,136,138,139branchingprocesses99branchingratio99,103bubbles113carbonsteel211Carnotheatengine178cascade95,97–99,102–105,114cascadeeect319,321,345catastrophe298catastrophetheory320catastrophicimpact343causalitychain345causalitynetwork319,345causation37caustics189CentralLimitTheorem192chainreaction321chaoticmotion192clearairturbulence172climatesystem170coherence26,38collectiveintelligence345commercialsuccesses95,97,114Complexsystems74complexity21,25,40consensus233,234,236,250consistency25contrails115convectiveinstability172convectiveupdraft173cooperation295,298,306,310–312,315Coriolisforce175cost–benet277cost-eectiveness279,282coupagainstGorbachev109criticalpoint319criticality95,99,101currenteddies189,191,194,195cusps195–199,202,208cyclicdeformation217damage220damageprediction222damagesize302dampingrate343decentralizedcontrol345defectdensity211Deuant233determinism7,21,25,26,36deterministicpredictionscheme81,82350Indexdisasterresponsemanagement319,325disasterspreading334diseasespreading339dislocations211dispersionrelation194downburst173downdraft173driftvelocities146,148dynamicpredictability69dynamicprogramming299earthquakefrequencies155earthquakes155,159,191,277,319economicgrowththeory97eddies186,189eectivecorrelationdimension130,137ecientcause37Einstein'srelation96election240electroencephalography126electronmomentumdistribution215emailnetworks101endogenouspeak104endogenousprobability298,299,301endogenousrisk297,298,315enjoylifeapproach301epidemiccascademodelofsocialinteractions98epidemicprocess98,99,110,111epidemics270,316,328epilepsy123–127,129,135equationsofmotion4,62erroneousbeliefs315erroneousexpectations306,316exogenousshock96,102,109,112externalshock97,109falsealarmsrate91,140fattails319nalcause37nancialcrashes61,95,97,112,123oods145,157–164,233,255,277,320fold197forecasts30,33,79,159,160,189,209,277,278,289,290Fornberg,B.
191fragmentation233,255freakindex189,199,203freakwaves189,191,193,195,197,204,206,208,209freerider315frequencies126,128,146,155,160,161Gaussianmodel51seas189,192,193,195,197,204waveheight192geologicaltimescale145–149,151,153,154,159–161geophysicalturbulence172gravitywaves172hail173hazardmanagementsystem295herding112highresolution217,285HilbertTransform133hitrate74,89hurricane324iceagecycles145idiographicscience42ignoranceapproach301,306imaginablesurprise316imperfectknowledge298insurancelosses320integralriskmanagement277–279,290,292interactionmatrix339interdependence133,134,136internetdownloadshocks95,100irreversibledamage314jetstream172king113Krause–Hegselmann233latticedefects211lifetimeprediction211,212log-periodic92,113lognormaldistribution273Longuet-Higgins,C.
192Lyapunovexponents129,131,136Markovchain62,82materialcause37Index351mega-risk295memorykernel98,103,111,115mind22,29mitigation277,297–302mitigationeciency301–304,307,308,310,313mitigationprobability307,308multifractalrandomwalk(MRW)109multivariate137Nashequilibrium307,309–312naturalhazards277,278,284,285,290networktheory319,345neuron124,125non-destructivematerialtesting213non-stationarity127nonlineargrowth191Schr¨odingerequation206nonlineartimeseries136nonlineartimeseriesanalysis128nonlinearity128,129,134nonuniformsampling204NorthAtlanticOscillation179numericalweatherprediction284object22–24,27,29–32,34,39organisationalmeasures277,278,282–284,290panicbehavior301,303,315Paretooptimum307,309–312perception31–33,38,40percolationtheory261,320Perigrine,H.
194periods147,151,152,159perturbedcomplexsystems297phasetransition320physicalmodelling277,278,284plasticdeformation213plasticzone227polarization233positronannihilation212powerlaws111,345pragmatics24,37precautionaryapproach297precipitation285–287,289precipitationextremes169precursor86,123,130prediction135,145,157,159,161pressure154probability31,48processknowledge277publicgood314quantumchaos192randomcascade186randomuctuations170randommedia198raytheory197Rayleighdistribution204real-time27redistributionofthebenets311reductionism25,40,41refraction189,191,194,195remainingrisk279,281,282reoccurrenceintervals161replication41representamen22,26,28,30–32,42reproducible39reproduction41,42reversibility36riskmanagement277,281,284,295riskreduction279,282,283ROCstatistics90roostertails202runners202runo277,285,287,289–292S-parameter215Sar-Simpsonscale177scalediagram171scale-free235scaling237,238scanningpositronimages227Schr¨odingerequation198Schumpeter97secondarydisaster331seizure123–136seizureanticipation123,138,139seizureprediction135seizureprevention123,136self-constitution33,38self-organization26,35,95,96,345self-organizedcriticality61,95,106,260,345semiotics22–24352Indexsensitivity110,123,137,139,140September11,2001107–112Shannonentropy75sideeect319sign22,23,30,31,36signprocess22,31similarity131,133,136single-neuronrecordings24singularity42slopestability285,287snow287–289,319socialnetworks98,101,106space-timescales171specicity89,123,139,140springmelt290statespacereconstruction129,130,132staticprediction75stochasticsystems,predictionof72stockmarket72stress-straindiagram219surfacehardness220surprise295,297,298,304surrogate134swell190synchronization125,129,132,133,136,137synopticdisturbances169systemdynamics320,334Sznajd233,242teleconnections171temperature170terroristattack320,327tertiarydisaster331thunderstorm331topography277,286tornadogenesis174tropicalcyclones177uncertainty278unfathomablecomplexity40,41univariate129,138unpredictableoutcome297volatilityshocks95,109,110wavelettransform128,133weakspot228weather115weatherextremes169White,B.
S.
195Wienerprocess110windextremes169windspeeddata85W¨ohlerdiagram211word-of-moutheect100,101,105word-of-moutheects98WorldMeteorologicalOrganization182Xevents,denition2